Publications

2019

  1. Libardoni AG, Forest CE, Sokolov AP, Monier E (2019) Underestimating Internal Variability Leads to Narrow Estimates of Climate System Properties. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46(16), 10000-100007, doi:10.1029/2019GL082442. [pdf]
  2. Pienkosz B, Saari R, Monier E, Garcia-Menendez F (2019) Natural variability in projections of climate change impacts on fine particulate matter pollution. Earth's Future, 7, 762–770, doi:10.1029/2019EF001195. [pdf]
  3. Kicklighter DK, Melillo JM, Monier E, Sokolov AP, Zhuang Q (2019) Future nitrogen availability and its effect on carbon sequestration in Northern Eurasia. Nat. Comm., 10, 3024, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-10944-0. [pdf]
  4. Dutkiewicz S, Hickman AE, Jahn O, Henson S, Beaulieu C, Monier E (2019) Ocean colour signature of climate change. Nat. Comm., 10(1), 578, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08457-x. [pdf]
  5. Saari RK, Mei Y, Monier E, Garcia-Menendez F (2019) Effect of Health-related Uncertainty and Natural Variability on Health Impacts and Co-Benefits of Climate Policy. Environ. Sci. Technol., 53(3), 1098-1108, doi:10.1021/acs.est.8b05094. [pdf]

2018

  1. Libardoni AG, Forest CE, Sokolov AP, Monier E (2018) Estimates of climate system properties incorporating recent climate change. Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4(1-2), 19-36, doi:10.5194/ascmo-4-19-2018. [pdf]
  2. Sokolov A, Kicklighter D, Schlosser A, Wang C, Monier E, Brown-Steiner B, Prinn R, Forest C, Gao X, Libardoni A, Eastham S (2018) Description and Evaluation of the MIT Earth System Model (MESM). J. Adv. Model Earth Syst., 10(8), 1759-1789, doi:10.1029/2018MS001277. [pdf]
  3. Libardoni AG, Forest CE, Sokolov AP, Monier E (2018) Baseline evaluation of the impact of updates to the MIT Earth System Model on its model parameter estimates. Geosci. Model Dev., 11(8), 3313-3325, doi:10.5194/gmd-11-3313-2018. [pdf]
  4. Brown-Steiner B, Selin NE, Prinn RG, Monier E, Tilmes S, Emmons L, Garcia-Menendez F (2018) Maximizing ozone signals among chemical, meteorological, and climatological variability. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18(11), 8373-8388, doi:10.5194/acp-18-8373-2018. [pdf]
  5. Monier E, Paltsev S, Sokolov A, Chen Y-H, Gao X, Ejaz Q, Couzo E, Schlosser CA, Dutkiewicz S, Fant C, Scott J, Kicklighter D, Morris J, Jacoby H, Prinn R, Haigh M (2018) Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts. Nat. Commun., 9(1), 660, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9. [pdf]

2017

  1. Groisman P, Shugart H, Kicklighter D, Henebry G, Tchebakova N, Maksyutov S, Monier E, Gutman G, Gulev S, Qi J, Prishchepov A, Kukavskaya E, Porfiriev B, Shiklomanov A, Loboda T, Shiklomanov N, Nghiem S, Bergen K, Albrechtová J, Chen J, Shahgedanova M, Shvidenko A, Speranskaya N, Soja A, de Beurs K, Bulygina O, McCarty J, Zhuang Q, Zolina O (2017) Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century. Prog. Earth Planet. Sci., 4(1), 41, doi:10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5. [pdf]
  2. Blanc E, Caron J, Fant C, Monier E (2017) Is Current Irrigation Sustainable in the United States? An Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Resources and Irrigated Crop Yields. Earth's Future, 5(8), 877–892, doi:10.1002/2016EF000473. [pdf]
  3. Xu L, Pyles RD, Paw U KT, Snyder RL, Monier E, Falk M, Chen SH (2017) Impact of Canopy Representations on Regional Modeling of Evapotranspiration using the WRF-ACASA Coupled Model. Agr. Forest. Meteorol., 247, 79-92, doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.07.003. [pdf]
  4. Monier E, Kicklighter DW, Sokolov AP, Zhuang Q, Sokolik IN, Lawford R, Kappas M, Paltsev SV, Groisman PYa (2017) A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia. Environ. Res. Lett., 12(8), 083001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7aae. [pdf]
  5. Garcia-Menendez F, Monier E, Selin NE (2017) The role of natural variability in projections of climate change impacts on U.S. ozone pollution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44(6), 2911-2921, doi:10.1002/2016GL071565. [pdf]
  6. Kim JB, Monier E, Sohngen B, Pitts G, Drapek R, McFarland J, Ohrel S, Cole J (2017) Assessing climate change impacts, benefits of mitigation, and uncertainties on major global forest regions under multiple socioeconomic and emissions scenarios. Environ. Res. Lett., 12(4), 045001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fc. [pdf]
  7. Gao X, Schlosser CA, O'Gorman P, Monier E, Entekhabi D (2017) Twenty-First-Century Changes in U.S. Regional Heavy Precipitation Frequency Based on Resolved Atmospheric Patterns. J. Climate, 30(7), 2501-2521, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0544.1. [pdf]

2016

  1. Monier E, Xu L, Snyder R (2016) Uncertainty in future agro-climate projections in the United States and benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation. Environ. Res. Lett., 11(15), 055001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055001. [pdf]

2015

  1. Sue Wing I, Monier E, Stern A, Mundra A (2015) US Major Crops' Uncertain Climate Change Risks and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Benefits. Environ. Res. Lett., 10(11), 115002, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/115002. [pdf]
  2. Garcia-Menendez F, Saari RK, Monier E, Selin NE (2015) U.S. air quality and health benefits from avoided climate change under greenhouse gas mitigation. Environ. Sci. Technol., 49(13), 7580-7588, doi:10.1021/acs.est.5b01324. [pdf]
  3. Mills D, Jones R, Carney K, St Juliana A, Ready R, Crimmins A, Martinich J, Shouse K, DeAngelo B, Monier E (2015) Quantifying and Monetizing Potential Climate Change Policy Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Wildfires in the United States. Climatic Change, 131(1), 163-178, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1118-z [Erratum: Climatic Change, 131(1), 179-181, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1407-1]. [pdf] Erratum: [pdf]
  4. Strzepek K, Neumann J, Smith J, Martinich J, Boehlert B, Hejazi M, Henderson J, Wobus C, Jones R, Calvin K, Johnson D, Monier E, Strzepek J, Yoon J (2015) Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States. Climatic Change, 131(1), 127-141, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9. [pdf]
  5. Monier E, Gao X (2015) Climate change impacts on extreme events in the United States: an uncertainty analysis. Climatic Change, 131(1), 67-81, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-1048-1. [pdf]
  6. Monier E, Gao X, Scott JR, Sokolov AP, Schlosser CA (2015) A framework for modeling uncertainty in regional climate change. Climatic Change, 131(1), 51-66, doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1112-5. [pdf]
  7. Paltsev S, Monier E, Scott J, Sokolov A, Reilly J (2015) Integrated economic and climate projections for impact assessment. Climatic Change, 131(1), 21-33, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0892-3. [pdf]

2014

  1. Xu L, Pyles RD, Paw U KT, Chen S, Monier E (2014) Coupling the high-complexity land surface model ACASA to the mesoscale model WRF. Geosci. Model Dev., 7(6), 2917-2932, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2917-2014. [pdf]
  2. Gao X, Schlosser A, Xie P, Monier E, Entekhabi D (2014) An Analogue Approach to Identify Heavy Precipitation Events: Evaluation and Application to CMIP5 Climate Models in the United States. J. Climate, 27(15), 5941-5963, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00598.1. [pdf]

2013

  1. Monier E, Scott JR, Sokolov AP, Forest CE, Schlosser CA (2013) An integrated assessment modeling framework for uncertainty studies in global and regional climate change: the MIT IGSM-CAM (version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 6(6), 2063-2085, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-2063-2013. [pdf]
  2. Monier E, Sokolov AP, Schlosser CA, Scott JR, Gao X (2013) Probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia. Environ. Res. Lett., 8(4), 045008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/045008. [pdf]
  3. Zickfeld K, Eby M, Weaver AJ, Alexander K, Crespin E, Edwards NR, Eliseev AV, Feulner G, Fichefet T, Forest CE, Friedlingstein P, Goose H, Holden PB, Joos F, Kawamiya M, Kicklighter D, Kienert H, Matsumoto K, Mokhov II, Monier E, Olsen SM, Pedersen JOP, Perrette M, Philippon-Berthier G, Ridgwell A, Schlosser A, Schneider von Deimling T, Shaffer G, Sokolov A, Spahni R, Steinacher M, Tachiiri K, Tokos KS, Yoshimori M, Zeng N, Zhao F (2013) Long-Term Climate Change Commitment and Reversibility: An EMIC Intercomparison. J. Climate, 26(16), 5782-5809, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00584.1. [pdf]
  4. Hallgren W, Schlosser CA, Monier E, Kicklighter D, Sokolov A, Melillo J (2013) Climate Impacts of a Large-Scale Biofuels Expansion. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(8), 1624-1630, doi:10.1002/grl.50352. [pdf].
  5. Eby M, Weaver AJ, Alexander K, Zickfeld K, Abe-Ouchi A, Cimatoribus AA, Crespin E, Drijfhout SS, Edwards NR, Eliseev AV, Feulner G, Fichefet T, Forest CE, Goosse H, Holden PB, Joos F, Kawamiya M, Kicklighter D, Kienert H, Matsumoto K, Mokhov II, Monier E, Olsen SM, Pedersen JOP, Perrette M, Philippon-Berthier G, Ridgwell A, Schlosser A, Schneider von Deimling T, Shaffer G, Smith RS, Spahni R, Sokolov AP, Steinacher M, Tachiiri K, Tokos K, Yoshimori M, Zeng N, Zhao F (2013) Historical and idealized climate model experiments: an intercomparison of Earth system models of intermediate complexity. Clim. Past, 9(3), 1111-1140, doi:10.5194/cp-9-1111-2013. [pdf]
  6. Reilly J, Paltsev S, Strzepek K, Selin NE, Cai Y, Nam KM, Monier E, Dutkiewicz S, Scott J, Webster M, Sokolov A (2013) Valuing climate impacts in integrated assessment models: the MIT IGSM. Climatic Change, 117(3), 561-573, doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0635-x. [pdf]

2012

  1. Sokolov AP, Monier E (2012) Changing the Climate Sensitivity of an Atmospheric General Circulation Model through Cloud Radiative Adjustment. J. Climate, 25(19), 6567-6584, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00590.1. [pdf]

2011

  1. Monier E, Weare BC (2011) Climatology and trends in the forcing of the stratospheric zonal-mean flow. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11(24), 12751-12771, doi:10.5194/acp-11-12751-2011. [pdf]
  2. Monier E, Weare BC (2011) Climatology and trends in the forcing of the stratospheric ozone transport. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11(13), 6311-6323, doi:10.5194/acp-11-6311-2011. [pdf]

2010

  1. Monier E, Weare BC, Gustafson WI (2010) The Madden-Julian oscillation wind-convection coupling and the role of moisture processes in the MM5 model. Clim. Dyn., 35(2-3), 435-447, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0626-4. [pdf]