Study: Much of the surface ocean will shift in color by end of 21st century
Climate-driven changes in phytoplankton communities will intensify the blue and green regions of the world’s oceans
Climate change is causing significant changes to phytoplankton in the world’s oceans, and a new MIT study finds that over the coming decades these changes will affect the ocean’s color, intensifying its blue regions and its green ones. Satellites should detect these changes in hue, providing early warning of wide-scale changes to marine ecosystems.
Writing in Nature Communications, researchers report that they have developed a global model that simulates the growth and interaction of different species of phytoplankton, or algae, and how the mix of species in various locations will change as temperatures rise around the world. The researchers also simulated the way phytoplankton absorb and reflect light, and how the ocean’s color changes as global warming affects the makeup of phytoplankton communities.
The researchers ran the model through the end of the 21st century and found that, by the year 2100, more than 50 percent of the world’s oceans will shift in color, due to climate change.
The study suggests that blue regions, such as the subtropics, will become even more blue, reflecting even less phytoplankton — and life in general — in those waters, compared with today. Some regions that are greener today, such as near the poles, may turn even deeper green, as warmer temperatures brew up larger blooms of more diverse phytoplankton.
“The model suggests the changes won’t appear huge to the naked eye, and the ocean will still look like it has blue regions in the subtropics and greener regions near the equator and poles,” says lead author Stephanie Dutkiewicz, a principal research scientist at MIT’s Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences and the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. “That basic pattern will still be there. But it’ll be enough different that it will affect the rest of the food web that phytoplankton supports.”
Dutkiewicz’s co-authors include Oliver Jahn of MIT, Anna Hickman of the University of Southhampton, Stephanie Henson of the National Oceanography Centre Southampton, Claudie Beaulieu of the University of California at Santa Cruz, and Erwan Monier, former principal research scientist at the MIT Center for Global Change Science, and currently assistant professor at the University of California at Davis, in the Department of Land, Air and Water Resources.
Source: MIT News
Also covered by: CNN, "Climate change will even change the color of the oceans, study says"; BBC News, "Climate change: Blue planet will get even bluer as Earth warms"; Newsweek, "Climate change is going to change the color of the ocean by the end of the century"; The Guardian, "Rising temperatures to make oceans bluer and greener"; The Telegraph, "Oceans to turn brighter blue due to global warming"; Forbes, "The Color Of The Oceans Is Shifting Thanks To Climate Change"; The Washington Post, "Climate change will alter the color of the oceans, new research finds"; Fox News, "Oceans will change color by the end of the century, scientists warn"; Huffington Post, "Climate Change Is Shifting The Color Of The Oceans"; National Geographic, "Climate change will shift the oceans’ colors"; WBUR News, "Climate Change Is Altering The Color Of The Ocean"; AAAS EurekAlert!, "Study: Much of the surface ocean will shift in color by end of 21st century"; Sciences et Avenir, "D'ici la fin du siècle, des océans plus contrastés à cause du réchauffement climatique"